WNBA Best Bets for September 5: Weekend Preview and WNBA Finals Odds
The 2025 WNBA regular season has officially entered its final week, with the playoff picture still simmering. Only Minnesota has locked in their spot at the top, while the race for the remaining seven remains wide open.
The postseason tips off on September 14, and two teams are heating up at exactly the right time: the Las Vegas Aces have surged to clinch a playoff berth behind an incredible 13-game winning streak, while the Phoenix Mercury are keeping pace, riding momentum into the postseason.
Let’s take a look at the latest WNBA odds for the WNBA Finals, give a weekend preview, and I’ll share my best bets for Friday and Saturday’s games on DraftKings Sportsbook You can also find more WNBA previews, picks, and daily content on DraftKings Network.
The Favorite: MIN Lynx (+120)
There hasn’t been much shake-up in the WNBA Finals market. Minnesota holds steady as the favorite at +120, leading the league at 32–9 with a comfortable cushion in the standings. Backed by the league’s top offensive and defensive ratings, the Lynx secured the No. 1 seed with authority and continue to prove their dominance by winning seven of their last 10 contests.
With Napheesa Collier anchoring their attack, a defense capable of shutting down any opponent, and the depth to wear teams down, Minnesota stands as the undeniable frontrunner to capture the championship.
WNBA Best Bets and Weekend Preview
Los Angeles Sparks at Atlanta Dream — Friday, September 5th, 7:30 PM ET
With the Atlanta Dream already locked into the postseason, all the pressure shifts to the Los Angeles Sparks on Friday. The Sparks have dropped five of their last 10 — including an 86–75 loss to Atlanta in their last matchup — and find themselves scrambling on the playoff bubble. In that game, Dearica Hamby dropped 21 points and nine boards while Kelsey Plum added 18 points and seven assists, but the Sparks couldn’t match the Dream’s depth. Rhyne Howard poured in 19, Brionna Jones notched her 12th double-double, and five Atlanta players finished in double figures.
Atlanta brings the league’s second-best offensive rating into a matchup with Los Angeles’ shaky defense, ranked fourth-worst overall and prone to giving up clean looks from deep. Unless the Sparks find defensive consistency in a hurry, the Dream are poised to make it two straight, and I’m liking Howard to lead the charge from beyond the arc.
Lean: ATL -6.5
PICK: Rhyne Howard Over 3.5 Three-Pointers Made (+135)
New York Liberty at Seattle Storm — Friday, September 5th, 10:00 PM ET
It’s been anything but smooth sailing for the Liberty this season, with injuries derailing the reigning champions and stars missing extended stretches — the latest setback being Sabrina Ionescu’s absence. Without her steady scoring presence, New York has dropped two straight, including a rough 66–58 loss to the Golden State Valkyries. While they’ve still officially clinched a playoff spot, the Liberty have their work cut out for them as the playoffs near.
Up next is Seattle, a team that’s been wildly inconsistent down the stretch, beating Finals favorite Minnesota 93–79 one night, then coughing up a 17-point lead to fall 91–85 against Los Angeles two games later. If the Storm can close the season with back-to-back wins, they’ll hit the postseason at .500 and with momentum. However, to knock off New York, they’ll need a locked-in defensive effort and big outings from Skylar Diggins and Nneka Ogwumike to overcome the Liberty’s still-lethal attack, which ranks third in the league in offensive rating (105.6).
Lean: NY +2
PICK: Nneka Ogwumike Over 17.5 Points (-120)
Phoenix Mercury at Connecticut Sun — Saturday, September 6th, 1:00 PM
The Mercury are scorching right now. Winners of six straight, Phoenix finally has its big three, Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper, and Alyssa Thomas, all healthy and rolling at the same time. Thomas has been nothing short of electric, racking up a league-record seven triple-doubles while stuffing the stat sheet on a nightly basis, and the Mercury’s surge has pushed them into the top three in the standings. Fresh off a 75–69 win over the Mystics, they head into Saturday with a prime chance to keep the streak alive against a fading Connecticut team.
The Sun are already out of the playoff picture, stuck near the bottom of the standings with the league’s worst offensive rating (96.2) and third-worst defensive rating (108.8). This is exactly the kind of matchup Phoenix should dominate, and with a playoff spot already locked up, I expect the Mercury to treat the rest of the season as chemistry and momentum building reps.
All season long, I’ll be tracking the WNBA Odds for MVP, Finals Winner and more right here!
All odds and lines provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.
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