The WNBA MVP race could be heating back up during the final weeks of the 2025 regular season.

Since late May, Minnesota Lynx forward Napheesa Collier has been the betting favorite to win MVP at the BetMGM online sportsbook. She remains a -325 favorite, giving her an implied probability of 76.47%, despite being out for more than two weeks with an ankle injury.

While Collier has missed the past five games for Minnesota, a pair of contenders have started to apply pressure on her in this race. 

Las Vegas Aces forward A’ja Wilson is second in the latest WNBA MVP odds with a price tag of +450, giving her an implied probability of 18.18%. Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas is +600, which suggests an implied probability of 14.29%.

No other player is listed better than 150/1 to win the award at BetMGM. Only six options are remaining in this market.

Collier’s case could be the easiest, assuming she’s able to return to action soon. She’s the best player on the best team in the league. Minnesota is 6.5 games clear of anyone else with a 28-6 overall record.

After finishing as a runner-up in last year’s MVP race, Collier leads the league with an average of 23.5 points per game while shooting 53.7% from the floor. She’s played 26 contests this year, averaging 7.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 1.8 steals, and 1.6 blocks per game.

Wilson has recently emerged as Collier’s primary challenger after scoring 30-plus points in three consecutive games. She’s led the Aces (22-14) to eight wins in a row, as they have surged to fifth in the WNBA standings.

Wilson, who won last year’s award over Collier, is trying to become the first player in WNBA history to win four MVP awards, averaging 22.9 points, 10 rebounds, 3.3 assists, and 2.2 blocks in 32 games.

Thomas has remained in the mix throughout her first season with the Mercury, who sit fourth in the updated WNBA playoff picture at 21-13. She’s pacing the league with a career-best nine assists per game in this system, while averaging 16.1 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 1.6 steals in 29 contests.

Thomas, who finished runner-up in the 2023 MVP race, has recorded five triple-doubles this year. No other WNBA player has more than four in their entire career.

With the way these three stars are playing this year, the WNBA MVP race could become a compelling conversation down the stretch.

WNBA MVP Odds 2025

• Napheesa Collier -325
• A’ja Wilson +450
• Alyssa Thomas +600
• Sabrina Ionescu +15000
• Allisha Gray +30000
• Caitlin Clark +50000

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