WNBA Best Bets Today: Spread Picks, Player Props, Total Predictions

Thu, Jun 27, 2024, 7:03 PM
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The Action Network

We have a loaded four-game slate in the WNBA this Thursday, with Lynx vs. Wings set to tip off the action at 1:00 p.m. ET, followed by a doubleheader on Amazon Prime Video, as Aces vs. Sky takes center stage at 7:00 p.m. ET, and then we’ll conclude the evening with Fever vs. Storm at 10:00 p.m. ET.

Our experts have locked in three bets for today’s slate, featuring a total prediction and player prop for Indiana-Seattle later tonight.

Read below for our WNBA best bets today.

Fever vs. Storm

The Indiana Fever are on pace to be one of the worst defensive teams in WNBA history. During the 2020 shortened COVID season, the Fever posted a defensive rating of 111.8 points allowed per 100 possessions.

This season, Indiana has a league-worst 109.5 rating.

If we go back to Indiana’s 2020 season, it was the second-most profitable team for over-bettors with a 12-8-1 (60%) mark.

Those numbers are a blip compared to this season, as the total is 14-4 (77.8%) to the over in Fever games.

Indiana is on a four-game road trip, and its next stop will be Seattle to take on the Storm. Seattle is one of the better teams in the W, ranking fourth with a 10-6 record.

The bookmakers opened with a total of 166.5, and that number feels short when you consider this situational spot.

In 2020, the Fever played nine games with an opening total of 166.5 or more points, and the over was 6-2-1 (75%).

Given the striking similarities between the 2020 Fever team and this current roster, the over warrants some strong consideration.

Pick: Over 167.5 (-110)

The Storm take on Caitlin Clark and the Fever today. However, I’m targeting one of the Storm’s guards in this matchup.

Skylar Diggins-Smith has a points + assists line set at 21.5, a number she’s exceeded in 56% of games this season including a combined total of 27 in her last matchup against the Fever.

Over the Fever’s last 10 games, they have the second-worst defensive rating (108.4) and are allowing the second-most opponent assists (22.7).

Considering the Storm play at one of the faster paces in the league, they should be able to speed up the Fever in this matchup where they are 9-point favorites.

I’ll back Skylar to lead the charge for the Storm tonight.

Pick: Skylar Diggins-Smith Over 21.5 Points + Assists (-128)