To call this WNBA season a wild ride would be an understatement. From rookie breakouts and record win streaks to MVP-level dominance (looking at you, Las Vegas Aces), it’s been nonstop drama. Now the stage is set for the ultimate showdown. The Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury tip off the WNBA Finals on Friday, October 3^rd, in what’s not only a clash of heavyweights, but also the first-ever best-of-seven Finals series in league history.

There are plenty of storylines to dive into and sharp angles to attack, so let’s take a look at the WNBA odds for the WNBA Finals on DraftKings Sportsbook and preview this series.

Stay locked into the WNBA Finals with game previews, best bets, and predictions all postseason long on DraftKingsNetwork.com!

2025 WNBA Finals Odds

The Favorite: LV Aces (-135)

After a thrilling 107–98 overtime win in Game 5 over the Indiana Fever, the two-time champion Las Vegas Aces (-135) punched their ticket back to the Finals. Their opponent? The No. 4 seed Phoenix Mercury (+115), a team that caught fire late in the regular season and carried that momentum through the playoffs. Phoenix stunned the league by taking down the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx — heavy favorites for much of the year — in four games. The Mercury showed resilience and poise under pressure, erasing a 20-point deficit in Game 2 (tying the largest road comeback in WNBA playoff history) and storming back from 13 points down in the fourth quarter to close out the series.

The Aces, meanwhile, have looked unstoppable down the stretch. After sitting at .500 at the All-Star break, Las Vegas ripped off a 16-game win streak to surge into the No. 2 seed — then extended it to 17 with a Game 1 victory over Seattle. Reigning MVP A’ja Wilson elevated her game even further, locking up her fourth MVP award while cementing herself as the league’s most dominant force. Her playoff heroics have only added to her legend, highlighted by a record-setting third career 35-point postseason performance in a series-clinching win (per ESPN).

Buckle up — this one has all the makings of a classic.

Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury WNBA Finals Preview

Game 1 tips off Friday, October 3rd, 8 p.m. ET

While the Mercury have been dominant in closing out games, the Aces have been battle-tested at every step of the postseason. Las Vegas edged the Storm by a single point in Game 3 of the opening round and needed overtime to put away Indiana in the semis. Phoenix, by contrast, has stumbled out of the gate in multiple games — but their knack for late rallies and fourth-quarter poise has powered them into the Finals. Momentum may tilt toward the Mercury, but Las Vegas still has the ultimate X-factor in A’ja Wilson, with Jackie Young putting on a clinic of her own.

The Mercury embraced the underdog role this postseason, first knocking out the reigning champion New York Liberty in Round 1, then stunning the No. 1 seed Minnesota Lynx in Round 2. With their Big 3 of Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas, and Kahleah Copper fully healthy, Phoenix enters another series as the betting underdog — but this team is far from overmatched.

How Do The Finalists Stack Up?

The numbers tell the story: the Aces own the best postseason offensive rating (108.9), while the Mercury counter with the top defensive rating (92.2). Phoenix has had slow starts — including missing their first six shots in Game 4 of the semis — yet still found ways to close. Their stars have delivered: Thomas has been nearly a triple-double machine (18.6 PPG, 9.1 APG, 8.4 RPG), Sabally adds 17.9 PPG and 7.4 RPG with legit stretch-big range (34% from three in the playoffs), and Copper rounds it out with 15.0 PPG.

Las Vegas, though, has Wilson — and she’s been every bit the MVP. She’s averaging 26.0 PPG, 9.1 RPG, and 2.8 BPG in the postseason, after torching Phoenix for 25 per game in the regular season. Jackie Young has been the Aces’ other engine, putting up 20.5 PPG, including the clutch game-winner to seal the Storm series. Chelsea Gray adds steady veteran playmaking with 10.3 PPG and 7.3 APG, giving Vegas a balanced three-headed attack.

Realistically, this series hinges on whether Phoenix can limit Wilson — and I say “limit” lightly. The other swing factor: which team closes better in the fourth quarter. While Wilson is the best player on the floor, I lean Mercury to keep their underdog magic alive.

Sabally’s versatility as a 6’4 forward who can shoot the three, get to the line, and defend multiple positions is a threatening matchup. If Phoenix continues to show resiliency late in games and gets consistent production from its Big 3, they could flip this Finals on its head.

For bettors, this series is the definition of strength vs. strength: the Aces’ high-powered offense against the Mercury’s gritty identity. Their paths to the Finals couldn’t be more different, but Phoenix’s fourth-quarter toughness makes them a dangerous underdog — particularly against the spread and in live-betting spots if they fall behind early. With the W’s first-ever best-of-seven Finals, this isn’t just history in the making. It’s a clash of styles, stars, and storylines that should deliver fireworks on every level.

PICK: PHO in 7 (+650)

All odds and lines provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

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