We’re nearing the halfway point of the 2025 WNBA season, so let’s take a quick look at where things stand. Minnesota’s sitting comfortably on the throne at 17–3, winning eight of their last ten. But right on their heels is a red-hot Mercury squad that’s also taken eight of ten — and just snatched the league’s second-best record from the defending champs in New York. The Liberty have stumbled a bit lately, dropping six of their last ten, while Seattle and Atlanta are quietly pulling away from the pack with 12 wins each. Meanwhile, Dallas, Chicago, and Connecticut are holding down the bottom.

Let’s take a look at the latest WNBA odds for MVP and Finals Winner, and I’ll share my top betting picks for Friday and Saturday’s slates of games on DraftKings Sportsbook. You can also find more WNBA previews, picks, and daily content on DraftKings Network.

MVP Odds Tracker

The Favorite: Napheesa Collier (-400)

Collier looks like she’s running away with this award. Since being held to just 12 points on 6-of-18 shooting in the Commissioner’s Cup Final, she’s been locked in — averaging 22.3 points, 6.3 boards, and shooting a blistering 55% from the field. The UConn product still leads the league in scoring and ranks second in True Shooting percentage at 63.1%. Oh, and she just earned her fifth All-Star start. Her offense speaks for itself, but don’t forget — she’s also the reigning Defensive Player of the Year, averaging 1.5 blocks per game and anchoring a Lynx defense that holds the league’s best defensive rating (94.3).

Next in Line: Alyssa Thomas (+1000)

We’ve got movement! The last time we checked in on the W’s MVP odds, Thomas wasn’t even in the top six — she was sitting way back at +12000. Now? She’s Collier’s biggest challenger, with the second-lowest odds at +1000. Let’s start with her last game: Thomas was huge in the Mercury’s win over the league-leading Lynx, dropping a career-high 29 points. Then she followed it up with her 16th career triple-double in a win over the Wings on Monday — the most in WNBA history. At 33, she’s been a driving force behind Phoenix’s recent surge.

2025 WNBA Finals Winner

The Favorite: NY Liberty (+180)

I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t a little surprised the reigning champs are still the favorites to go back-to-back. The Liberty opened the season at +225 to win it all and have only slightly improved to +180 — with the Lynx right behind them at +220. They do lead the league in scoring at 86.7 PPG but trail the Lynx in offensive rating (107.3) and sit behind both Minnesota and the Valkyries in defensive rating (98.1). New York’s dropped six of their last ten, but Sabrina Ionescu is heating back up — averaging 21 points and 6.8 boards over her last four. Breanna Stewart has been steady, too. The Liberty still have the star power… but with the way things are trending, it’s fair to ask: how long can they hold onto that top spot?

Weekend Preview

Atlanta Dream at Indiana Fever, Friday 7:30 p.m. ET

The Dream have crept into the W’s top four, going 6–4 in their last 10 and sitting just ahead of the Storm. They’re coming off a big win over Golden State, led by Allisha Gray’s 24-point night — and she’s been cooking lately, averaging 19.4 PPG on 41.6% from deep. The Fever got Caitlin Clark back on Wednesday, but she struggled with 10 points on 4-of-12 shooting. Plus, Coach Stephanie White said the team lacked “competitive fire,” and it showed. Still, there have been bright spots: Aliyah Boston was on a tear before last game’s 6-point blip — putting up 19.8 PPG and 9.1 boards over the six prior — while Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 20.75 PPG over her last eight.

Both teams are neck-and-neck defensively — Atlanta (99.9) and Indiana (99.5) in rating — but this one likely comes down to the boards. The Fever allow the fewest opponent rebounds in the league, with the Dream right behind them. As good as Boston has been (9.1 RPG last 10), I’m fading her glass game here.

Lean: ATL +2.5 (-110)

PICK: Aliyah Boston Rebounds U 8.5 (-135)

Connecticut Sun at Seattle Storm, Friday 10:00 p.m. ET

Sometimes you look at a line on DraftKings Sportsbook and just think, “Yikes.” The Storm are massive favorites at -2800, despite just losing to this Sun squad on Wednesday, 93–83. That win snapped a brutal 10-game skid for Connecticut — thanks to a massive Tina Charles performance: 29 points, 11 boards, and a whole lot of momentum. Now Seattle gets a shot at redemption at home. Depth has been a struggle all season — three players tore ACLs before the year even tipped — but the Storm still have two All-Stars in Nneka Ogwumike (17 PPG) and Skylar Diggins (18.5 PPG) leading the charge.

I’m all in on a bounce-back spot for Seattle… but let’s not act like the Sun are just gonna fold. They may rank dead last in offensive and defensive rating, but they closed Wednesday’s win with an 11–0 run in the fourth. Who’s to say they can’t do it again?

PICK: CON Sun +18 (-110)

Golden State Valkyries at Las Vegas Aces, Saturday 4:00 p.m. ET

The league’s newest squad is coming off a 19-point win over the Fever, thanks in large part to Veronica Burton, who dropped 21 points and buried five threes. But the real standout for the Valkyries right now? Their defense. Golden State’s pressure-heavy system gave Caitlin Clark a nightmare on Wednesday, holding her to just 10 points on 4-of-12 shooting. The Valks now sit second in the league in defensive rating (97.3), hold opponents to the second-lowest PPG (77.3), and allow the lowest FG% (39.4%) in the W.

Now let’s talk Aces. Vegas has been riding a wave of up-and-down performances — and just took a major hit with A’ja Wilson sidelined by a wrist injury. She’s been averaging 21.9 points and 9 boards, and losing that kind of production is a serious setback for a team already sitting a game below .500. Jackie Young (17.2 PPG) has stepped up this season, but between Golden State’s suffocating defense and the hole left by Wilson, I’m staying away from backing Vegas here.

Lean: GS ML (-110)

PICK: Valkyries Alternate Spread -2.5 (+114)

All season long, I’ll be tracking the WNBA Odds for MVP, Finals Winner and more right here!

All odds and lines provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.