WNBA Best Bets, Predictions for May 22-23 on DraftKings Sportsbook
After just a few weeks of WNBA action, team identities are already beginning to take shape. The Las Vegas Aces sit atop the standings with four wins, while the Chicago Sky and Toronto Tempo have emerged as early surprises, each opening the season with three victories and a couple losses.
Let’s go over the WNBA odds for Friday and Saturday’s games and I’ll provide my best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook!
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Friday, May 22
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream (7:30 p.m. ET) — ATL -5.5, O/U 172.5
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever (7:30 p.m. ET) — IND -6.5, O/U 169.5
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm (10:00 p.m. ET) — SEA -1.5, O/U 165.5
Best Bets
Angel Reese 14+ Rebounds (-105): Reese has settled nicely into her new home with the Atlanta Dream, averaging 10.7 points and 12.7 rebounds per game through her first three contests. While her shooting efficiency remains low at just 33.3% from the field, that’s not why Atlanta traded for her. Reese has built her reputation by dominating the glass and making opponents pay with her physicality in the paint, leading the league in rebounds per game over the past two seasons.
Tonight, she’ll face a Dallas Wings team that ranks 11th in the league in rebounds per game (30.8) and prefers to play with pace and floor spacing rather than putting pressure in the paint. Reese has already recorded 14+ rebounds twice this season, and there’s a clear path for her to hit that mark again tonight.
Golden State Valkyries +6.5 (-115): This matchup features a clash of styles between the league’s fastest-paced team in Indiana and the slowest-paced team in Golden State — so which identity is going to give? The Fever currently lead the league in scoring at 94.4 points per game while shooting 46.0% from the field (7th). Meanwhile, the Valkyries average just 84.0 points per game (10th) and are shooting only 39.7% from the field. So, it’s easy to understand why Indiana enters this matchup as the favorite. However, Golden State doesn’t win with explosive offense, it wins with defense.
The Valkyries currently lead the league in defensive rating (98.7) while also taking care of the basketball, averaging a league-best 9.3 turnovers per game. They’ve consistently protected the rim and disrupted opposing offenses with physicality and pressure. We just watched them take down the high-powered Liberty offense, holding New York to only 70 points despite the return of three-time All-Star Satou Sabally. Golden State is also shooting 36.6% from beyond the arc (2nd in the league), so if those perimeter shots are falling and the Valkyries continue using their press to slow Indiana’s tempo, this matchup could end up being much closer than the line suggests.
Saturday, May 23
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky (1:00 p.m. ET) — MIN -1.5, O/U 166.5
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo (6:0 p.m. ET) — TOR -5.5, O/U 175.5
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces (8:00 p.m. ET) — lines not available as of Friday morning
Minnesota Lynx -1.5 (-120): Minnesota is coming off an impressive performance — or more accurately, a complete routing of Toronto — defeating the Tempo 100-72 behind an efficient 55% shooting night from the field. The Lynx dominated nearly every statistical category, outrebounding Toronto 46-25 while nearly doubling its points in the paint. Even without star Napheesa Collier, Minnesota has started to settle into a strong offensive rhythm. Five players scored in double figures in the win, and the team is now averaging 89.4 points per game (6th in the league). Olivia Miles has quickly emerged as an early star running the offense, averaging 15.2 points per game on an efficient 50% shooting clip while also leading the team in assists.
Chicago, on the other hand, opened the season with an impressive 3-1 start despite preseason doubts, but the Sky recently lost versatile two-way weapon Rickea Jackson to a torn ACL. Chicago fell to Dallas 99-89 in its last outing, though it still managed to score 85+ points despite missing a major offensive contributor.
While the Sky already got the better of Minnesota once this season, the circumstances feel different this time around. Chicago enters short-handed, while the Lynx are beginning to build momentum offensively. I like Minnesota to bounce back and take this one.
Fire vs. Tempo Under 175.5: Tonight features a matchup between the WNBA’s two newest franchises. Toronto enters this game on the heels of a blowout loss to the Lynx, where the team shot a disappointing 34% from the field and just 29% from beyond the arc. Unfortunately for the Tempo, that inefficiency hasn’t been a one-game issue. Through the early part of the 2026 season, Toronto ranks third-to-last in field-goal percentage at 40.4%.
The Fire, meanwhile, are shooting a respectable 44.7% from the field (8th in the league) through their first five games, but they still sit near the bottom tier of the WNBA in scoring output. Both expansion franchises are clearly dealing with the growing pains that come with building chemistry and identity on both ends of the floor. With inconsistent offensive production and two teams still trying to establish rhythm, I’m leaning toward a lower-scoring matchup tonight.
All odds and lines provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.
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