Inside the W: Handicapping the Rookie of the Year Race

In eight of the past nine seasons, the WNBA’s No. 1 draft pick has been the league’s Rookie of the Year winner, making it clear that the league has done a good job of making room for its best young talent and that impact has been significant and immediate.

In 2017, Kelsey Plum was the league’s No. 1 pick, coming off a record-shattering collegiate career including the NCAA’s all-time women’s basketball scoring title.
And after a slow start, Plum has built a strong rookie resume in the WNBA, leading the San Antonio Stars to four wins in their last five games. The Stars are 5-0 this season in games in which the dynamic young guard plays at least 30 minutes.

But Plum hasn’t been the only rookie this season to propel her team.

Brittney Sykes has been something of a surprise breakout performer for a young Atlanta team moving through the season without star Angel McCoughtry.
And Dallas Wings guard Allisha Gray jumped out to a great start and has settled into an impactful season.

Let’s handicap this interesting race as the season enters its stretch run.

Kelsey Plum

Brittney Sykes

Allisha Gray

The Path to the Playoffs

Los Angeles 19-8. The Sparks are trying hard to hold on to the No. 2 seed and the end of the season schedule bodes well. Los Angeles is 12-1 at home this season and will play four of their last five at home after ending a five-game road trip against Chicago on Friday night. But that final stretch includes games against Phoenix, Minnesota and Connecticut, three of the league’s toughest outs right now.

Connecticut 18-9. The Sun, on a six-game win streak, have punched their playoff ticket, but are hoping to pass Los Angeles to snag that No. 2 seed. Connecticut plays its next four games at home before closing on the road against Washington, Phoenix (who they will face twice in the final 7 games) and Los Angeles, a game that could decide that precious No. 2 spot.

Washington 16-10. The Mystics have eight games to go and have been playing since July 30 without Elena Delle Donne with a injured thumb. She should be back soon, just in time for the Mystics to solidify their playoff position. Washington will play five of its final eight at home, and five of those final eight games will come against Western Conference teams who are in playoff position.

New York 15-12. The Liberty, who have won three straight, now have to feel secure about their playoff prospects, but want to solidify their spot in the top half of the bracket. With seven games to go, the Liberty are facing just three road games. But it’s going to be a tough upcoming weekend with back-to-back matchups against Connecticut and Minnesota.

Phoenix 14-13. Brittney Griner is back just in time for the Mercury to make a push into the top half of the playoff bracket. Five of their final seven games come against teams on top of them in the standings. Just the kind of challenge Diana Taurasi and Co. would love on their way into the postseason.

Dallas 13-16. The Wings only have five games remaining and a three-game road trip still to go. The Wings had momentum with a three-game win streak, lost it and need it back in order to claim their first playoff spot in Dallas.

Chicago 11-16. The Sky are rallying back into the playoff conversation with a three-game win streak, but the seven games left on the schedule won’t be easy. They will face Los Angeles, Connecticut and Minnesota during this stretch run, as well as a Seattle team (twice) that’s equally desperate for wins. The Sky play four games at home in the closing stretch.

Seattle 11-16. The Storm made a coaching change hoping to change the team’s momentum and earn a playoff spot that many assumed was a given at the start of the season. There is opportunity here for Seattle, with four games against teams with losing records. Seattle is 3-10 on the road this season, and will play four of their final seven games away from home.

Longtime WNBA reporter Michelle Smith will have a weekly column on throughout the 2017 season. The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the WNBA or its clubs.