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The Triple Threat Time Machine
By Jon Loomer, NBA.com Fantasy Expert

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[NOTE: Saturday's Time Machine pick was changed from Tamika Catchings to Tamika Whitmore due to Catchings' injury.]

July 10 - Could've been better, right? The Time Machine had another average week, prompting some (or maybe just the voices in my head) to begin doubting the power of the abacus.

Taurasi's 50 saved the Time Machine.
(Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE/Getty Images)
The week provided mixed results, but it wasn't all that bad. Out of six days on which games were played, The Machine produced the top score on three of those days, including the second best game of the season by any player dropped by Diana Taurasi.

Unfortunately, the other three were complete disappointments. Cheryl Ford, what happened? You've provided some masterful nights for me in the past. A 12? Really? Let's move on.

By the way, The Time Machine told you to pick Lisa Leslie on the day she had the season's best PRA performance. Just a reminder.

Also, I have to pimp something that Matthew Brennan ("The Fantasy Guru") said a while back. Stick with the well-rounded performers because if you rely on players with a high percentage of their PRA wrapped up in scoring you will get burned on bad shooting nights. So true. Three of the players I've been burned by are Cappie Pondexter, Seimone Augustus and Diana Taurasi. All three are primarily shooters.

Granted, Taurasi gave me my 50 PRA on Sunday, but it goes to show you that you are fighting with fire with these players. You'll get some great games, but you'll also get some not-so-great games. Then again, if you stick with the system it will all even out in the end.

Anyway, I think it's time to review the recommendations. I like to do that instead of bragging every week as if you don't remember what's happened in previous weeks. It's all on the table. The good and the bad.

Following is a list of all of the picks The Time Machine has made, comparing the player's Regular Season PRA up until that week, the Time Machine's Projected PRA for that game, and the player's Actual PRA for that game.

Day Player Team vs. Reg Season PRA Projected PRA Actual PRA
Tuesday, June 6 Yolanda Griffith SAC PHO 20.4 26 31
Wednesday, June 7 Lauren Jackson SEA CHI 31.8 32 26
Friday, June 9 Lisa Leslie LOS CHI 35.8 37 34
Saturday, June 10 Vickie Johnson SAS NYL 24.2 27 26
Sunday, June 11 Sheryl Swoopes HOU MIN 26.2 29 0
Tuesday, June 13 Lisa Leslie LOS PHO 36.0 41 41
Wednesday, June 14 Seimone Augustus MIN SEA 28.8 29 36
Thursday, June 15 Lauren Jackson SEA CHI 28.9 31 41
Friday, June 16 Nykesha Sales CON PHO 24.9 30 26
Saturday, June 17 Alana Beard WAS NYL 27.4 29 39
Sunday, June 18 Diana Taurasi PHO MIN 30.7 33 27
Tuesday, June 20 Nykesha Sales CON CHA 24.0 26 16
Wednesday, June 21 Lauren Jackson SEA PHO 28.5 33 46
Thursday, June 22 Cheryl Ford DET CHA 29.3 32 41
Friday, June 23 Tamika Catchings IND PHO 29.4 36 26
Saturday, June 24 Seimone Augustus MIN NYL 28.6 30 36
Sunday, June 25 Lisa Leslie LOS SAS 36.3 34 57
Tuesday, June 27 Cheryl Ford DET SAS 30.1 31 42
Wednesday, June 28 Diana Taurasi PHO MIN 31.0 32 22
Thursday, June 29 Seimone Augustus MIN SAC 28.3 28 18
Friday, June 30 Lisa Leslie LOS PHO 35.5 40 26
Saturday, July 1 Lauren Jackson SEA MIN 29.6 31 37
Sunday, July 2 Alana Beard WAS PHO 27.2 32 0
Monday, July 3 Lisa Leslie LOS SAS 33.2 32 31
Wednesday, July 5 Seimone Augustus MIN WAS 27.9 27 31
Thursday, July 6 Cheryl Ford DET PHO 29.3 33 12
Friday, July 7 Tamika Catchings IND LOS 27.8 28 22
Saturday, July 8 Cappie Pondexter PHO CON 27.9 27 17
Sunday, July 9 Diana Taurasi PHO NYL 29.9 32 50
TOTAL 848.9 908 857
TOTAL without June 11 and July 2 795.5 847 857

At face value, it's not all that impressive. The Time Machine received 857 points for the games it picked, which was eight points higher than those players' season averages. Also, the Actual PRA scored on those days ended up being a total of 51 points less than projected.

Scrap it, start over, throw it in the trash.

Not so fast. I added a separate row for you because there were two days that skewed results. As you know, The Time Machine and I give you pick recommendations on Monday of every week for each day of that week. Injuries happen, and I am not able to go in and change picks. On two of these days (June 11 and July 2), The Time Machine picked players (Sheryl Swoopes and Alana Beard) who did not play on those days due to injury.

And so, I am providing two final scores -- one based on all recommendations because I'm honest, and one based on all recommendations in which the player actually ran the court.

Why? Because The Time Machine is all about match-ups. Telling you to pick Beard on the day she ended up sitting due to an injury doesn't mean that the tool doesn't work. She scored a zero that day, but not because it was a bad match-up. If she had played and was held to a zero, that would be a different story.

So if we concentrate on the games that were actually played, The Time Machine projected within 10 points of the actual PRA for those games. Even more, the Actual PRA was 61.5 points higher than the players' average up until that week.

That, my friends, is evidence that the tool is working. I tell you it is all about match-ups. I tell you that each pick won't be money, but to stick with it. There have been some duds, but over the long haul the entire body of work has put up better numbers than the regular season average. Why? Because of the match-ups.

Don't doubt the power. Now, sit back and enjoy this week's recommendations...

Regular Season Projected
Day Player Team vs. Pts Reb Ast PRA Pts Reb Ast PRA
Monday NO GAMES ON THIS DAY
Tuesday NO GAMES ON THIS DAY
Wednesday NO GAMES ON THIS DAY
Thursday NO GAMES ON THIS DAY
Friday  Lisa Leslie LOS PHO 20.1 9.4 3.4 32.9 23 11 4 38
Saturday  Tamika Whitmore IND CHA 16.1 4.9 1.8 22.8 17 6 2 25
Sunday  Diana Taurasi PHO NYL 23.2 3.9 3.7 30.8 24 4 4 32

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